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There is still hope.

Posted by TNconservative on Thursday, November 06, 2008 5:20:53 AM
Today was the day after the election of Barak Obama to be president.
 
Someone who just four years ago was a state senator who most of the united states didn't know.  And yet millions of people turned out to give this guy the election of president.  It is almost like Joe the Plumber becoming president over night.  Going from someone few know or have heard of, to being president.
 
A lot of people around town had long faces and you know why.  Its because they are dissapointed with the carelessness and selfish hedonism shown by many on election day.
 
I heard one person on the radio saying that for the first time in his adult life he was ashamed of his country.
 
But there were some good things that we have to be thankful for too.  California, Arizona and Florida all banned gay marriage.  Now everystate that has had this issue come up has chose to bann it.  And hopefully more states will continue to.  It is also important in showing that the people are against radical judges who try to make laws.  And another thing to be thankful for is that the liberals got less congress seats than they were hoping for.  Though they did get some, which is an absolute disgust, people fought back and kept some of the seats that liberals had hoped to win, and they even won back a few seats from liberals.  The people of those areas should be very proud.
 
Conservatives, now is the time to unite and work hard to advance the Pro Life agenda.  We need to go ahead and start working towards 2010, and don't take defeat as an option.  We need to make plans to uproot the liberals in the primaries, and maintain conservatives in every district of every red state, and in every seat possible.  If your state or your district is already locked up for conservatives, then give help out and grass roots support to somewhere that doesn't have a conservative.  Fight like never before.
Tags: 2010  
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Nebraska Goes Obama.

Posted by TNconservative on Tuesday, September 09, 2008 7:22:42 PM
Well there has been a new plan to win one of the electoral votes from Nebraska for Obama out of it's urban areas.
 
It is just one but consider this,
 
Obama will likely win California, Oregon, Washington, Hawaii, Iowa, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Illinois, Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Vermont, Maine, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Delaware, Maryland, and DC.
 
I think anyone could admit that Obama is likely to win those states, or atleast that they lean in his favor.
 
That makes 255 electoral votes for Obama.  It only takes 270 to win.
 
Now you have New Mexico which has been polling good for Obama and even many wishful thinking republican supporters are admiting that this state is leaning Obama.
 
Thats an extra 5 votes for 260 electoral votes for Obama.
 
Now you also have Colorado which has been trending towards going for Obama pretty consistantly.  A lot of people are admitting that this state is also likely to go for Obama.
 
If that happens then you can add 9 votes for a total of 269 electoral votes for Obama.
 
With 269 electoral votes, you are only 1 electoral vote away from winning.  That one from Nebraska would be it.  For the GOP, in losing New Mexico and Colorado, and a single electoral vote from Nebraska, they will have lost more than they could afford to, and they will have lost.
 
At that point it would not matter if McCain actually managed to come back and win Indiana which he has been losing.  It wouldn't matter if McCain managed to win both Flordia and Ohio, which may be a hard battle to try to win, especially Ohio.  It wouldn't matter if McCain won New Hamshire, it wouldn't matter if McCain won Virginia, which he is in danger of losing, or North Carolina, or Georgia which he very realistically could lose, nor would it matter if he won Montana and North Dakota and actually managed to keep all of the states that he has not been doing well in.  It would be still be over.  Done.
 
Please listen to me.  You know there are other elections going on this year.  The House of Representatives is up for election this year.  You claim to want conservativism.  Does your district have a conservative representing it?  If the districts got your support, rather than McCain, we could make a win out of this bad time in elections.  But if you continue to ignore this in favor of McCain who is a liberal anyways, then please remember what I am saying when he loses and vote in 2010.  Remember that congress is powerful.  They can over-ride a president.  They can impeach a president.  They can correct years and years of liberal mistakes in a very short amount of time if you get enough of them in there. 
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Why Palin Doesn't Matter.

Posted by TNconservative on Tuesday, September 09, 2008 6:44:20 PM
Sarah Palin is the running mate for John McCain that many people are getting excited about.  I'm sure that pretty much goes without saying.  Since McCain named her as his running mate, people have been saying very hyped up things about her.... and about him.
 
But does anything change about McCain because he named Sarah Palin as his running mate?
 
Don't you still have the same McCain who is the candidate.  Not Sarah Palin, she is not the candidate.
 
And what about the fact that this was a stunt to try to win McCain the election and add excitement to his depressing convention?  Had McCain not been in trouble and not facing against a "history making" opponent, do you think he still would have done this?  I don't think so.
 
So for me, I like Sarah Palin ok, but she is a running mate for a republican candidate who will destroy the cause and the issues of American conservatives and set them back for years to come.
 
People don't vote for a running mate. 
 
When you have to get people excited about a running mate, because the candidate himself can't get people excited then you've probably lost the election. 
 
McCain supporters are saying some pretty amazing things.  "Palin 2012".  You had better hope that McCain loses then.  You think he is going to throw away a chance to run again?  Really?  You can't be serious.  And their implying that McCain might not make it through his first term, to me it is kind of sad.  You don't hear anyone saying that someone McCain's age isn't going to make it 8 more years in the senate.  And Bob Dole was McCain's age when he ran and lost and guess what, Bob Dole is still alive today.  Most of those guys are still alive in their 80s or 90s.
 
If McCain wins, then you get a liberal in the WH for atleast 8 long years.  And Palin will be doing nothing but making speeches.  Since you like speeches so much.  Personally I don't like empty speeches with no action.  And Palin will not have the ability to act unless something happens to McCain which is pretty rare in US history, and I don't think its something you should hope for.
 
Anyways, as I have stated already I like Palin ok, so you know that what I am saying is not biased, but she is McCain's running mate, and McCain is not what we need right now.
 
 
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GOP Big Whigs.

Posted by TNconservative on Tuesday, July 22, 2008 6:14:45 AM
Something very unfortunate yet historical is happening in the Republican party.
 
The party is spilt between listening to the people and winning, or listening to the big whigs and losing.
 
The 2008 presidental election should have been all about the people, but the big whigs made it all about themselves.  Because of this the GOP will lose the presidental election in 2008.  IMO ofcourse, but I think its based off of a very realistic view.
 
The big whigs made sure that only a fellow big whig would win this nomination.  Their first big whig choice was Rudy Guiliani which they tormented the people with for over a year before the primary ever happened.  When it was clear that Guiliani couldn't win, they turned to their next choice big whig Mitt Romney the liberal who decided to say he was conservative right before running for president.  Then when it was clear that Mitt Romney could not win because the people didn't want that liberal, they made sure that they were alteast going to get their third choice which was big whig John McCain.  Fred Thompson was thrown in as the big whig in the people's conservative clothing, and was mainly there to ensure that no real people's conservative candidate would be able to be nominated.
 
Now all of these candidates were moderates and liberals because the GOP big whigs decided that going to the left is what they must do to win, even Fred Thompson who many will argue is conservative because of his people's conservative clothing, I think is clearly a moderate when taken a closer look at and compared with a real people's conservative like Duncan Hunter.  So why did they do this?
 
To take care of themselves while they throw you under the bus.  Thats business.  You see, they got themselves into trouble with scandels and corruption issues and now rather than thinking of the people they are thinking of how to save their own necks.
 
Richard Nixon was involved in watergate which made republicans look bad, and caused them to lose mid-term elections and some of their power.  And then Nixon resigned and his replacement Ford pardoned him from any punishments.  While this may have saved their own necks, it made republicans look even worse and in 1976 Jimmy Carter became president with a democrat congress.
 
The big whigs will keep looking out for their own interests at the expense of the people.  Just like now they want to nominate a presidental candidate who leans left, in hopes to win.
 
Republicans in the past had to take back their party from the whigs and make domestic and social issues a top priority.  It proved to be a winner.  That is what needs to happen now.  Perhaps it means to reform the party rather than change from it.  But certainly changing from must be an option if reforming is rejected.
 
I think its time to start over and go back to congress and get some real conservatives, not big whigs.
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McCain is "electable" VS The electoral map.

Posted by TNconservative on Tuesday, July 15, 2008 5:32:02 AM
Is McCain really "electable"?
 
Many have been trying to say that things are looking better for McCain in the national polls.
 
But what about state polls?  I mean that is what the electoral map is made up of.  States.  And it is this electoral map that must be considered when looking at a candidate's chances of winning the general.  In 2000 President Bush got 271 electoral votes winning 30 states.  In 2004 President Bush got 286 electoral votes and won 31 states.  Now 2004 was a very good election for us, and I thank God for it.  And though we did win good, it is also clear that we could not afford to lose much on the electoral map.  If President Bush actually had lost Ohio, he would have won 30 states yet still lost on the electoral map.  So it is very good that he won Ohio.  In 2000 it was even closer, and had President Bush lost even the smallest state like Alaska, Wyoming, Montana, North Dakota or South Dakota, it could have caused a loss on the electoral map.
 
Even though the GOP has this obvious disadvantage on the electoral map President Bush was able to overcome it and win because President Bush had an energized conservative base.  In 2004 President Bush's conservative base was strenghtened and so he won even a little bit better.
 
For a few years now, the state of California has gone to the democrats rather solidly.  Thats a free 55 electoral votes.  The state of New York is also a solid democrat state.  Thats another free 31 electoral votes.  Another solid democrat state that will almost certianly go to Obama is Illinois.  Thats another free 21 electoral votes.   Ok so we have just three states so far that are normally regarded today as solid democrat states.  Those three add up to 107 free electoral votes for any democrat who wants to run for president.  It only takes 270 electoral votes to win.  Thats over 1/3 the way to getting elected president right there, and its free to any democrat who runs for president.  Ok so lets look at some other solid democrat states because they don't stop there.  Massachusetts is a solid democrat state and has 12 electoral votes.  Rhode Island has 4 electoral votes.  Connecticut has 7 electoral votes.  New Jeresy has 15 electoral votes.  Delaware has 3 electoral votes.  Maryland has 10 electoral votes.  And DC will be given 3 electoral votes.  Ok so those other solid democrat states add up to 54 electoral votes.  So that is a total of 161 electoral votes which are pretty certain to go to any democrat running for president.  Oh, and Hawaii is pretty solid in democrat.  It has 4 electoral votes.  So the number is now 165 electoral votes.
 
Thats a pretty big advantage for the democrat candidate to have a pretty certain 165 electoral votes going into the election.  But the GOP has beaten it before.  So how do they beat it?  By keeping all of the redstates red, which means being a solid conservative.  A solid conservative would likely have an electoral map a lot like President Bush's 2004 electoral map.  The swing states became GOP states and even states that lean democrat like Michigan and Wisconsin were only narrow loses.  People respond well to this conservative thing.
 
So what are the state polls saying about McCain?  Well so far not only his he losing the democrat leaning states that it was thought he might be able to win, but McCain is also losing swing states and even GOP leaning states.  Recents polls show Obama winning in Michigan, Wisconsin, Oregon, Washington, Pennsylvania and Iowa.  Most of those are democrat leaning states except for Iowa which is a swing state.  Michigan's electoral votes are 17.  Wisconsin's are 10.  Oregon's are 7.  Washington's are 11.  Pennsylvania's are 21.  That makes 66 electoral votes together.  Added to the 165 from earlier you have 231 electoral votes.  It is getting a lot closer to 270 now.  As I said McCain not only is doing bad in those states but losing in Iowa polls, which is a valuable swing state.  Iowa has 7 electoral votes.  That would make the number now 238 electoral votes.  McCain is also losing in the polls for Minnesota.  Minnesota has 10 electoral votes.  Now the number would be 248 electoral votes.  And while McCain is barely winning in polls for florida, he has been losing in polls for Ohio.  If McCain doesn't get Ohio, without winning any democrat leaning states, it doesn't look good for him.  Ohio has 20 electoral votes.  The number would then be up to 268 electoral votes.  Another state that McCain has been losing in polls for is the GOP leaning state of Colorado.  Colorado has 9 electoral votes.  And as sad as it would be, that would be enough to be a win for the democrat.
 
But even what I have said so far isn't just it, it gets even worse for McCain.  McCain according to polls may well lose Virginia.  Virginia!  The state of Virginia has not given it's electoral votes to a democrat since Barry Goldwater lost to Johnson in 1964.  Another Arizona republican McCain may not lose as bad a Goldwater did, but the possibilities of McCain losing certainly seem high.  And Virginia isn't the only GOP state McCain is losing.  McCain has been losing in the polls for Indiana, and Montana.
 
So my question to McCain supporters is, how do you think McCain can win?  It doesn't look very good for him at all, and all the talk about him being "electable" and appealing to "Independants" seems to be not working either.  As far as him even losing GOP states goes, I think his liberal or moderate ways are to blame for that.  I know that is exactly what makes me not interested in McCain.  So how can he win?
 
I know follow conservatives that you are probably very scared of Obama winning as it looks like he might.  I don't like it, probably about the same.  But being that McCain's liberal or moderate ways have been harm rather than good and look like that may cost him the election, I hope everyone turns all their attention, all their support and all their enegry to the House of Represenatives.  If they got some help and support they might actually be able to turn out some wins, which would give the conservative people a congress that could stop whichever liberal president we get.  Please consider it.
 
Sorry if all the numbers were kind of boring but it is something that must be taken into consideration.
 
Thanks for reading and commenting.
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